Max去年成績穩定的可怕 - 一級方程式賽車 Formula One
By Damian
at 2022-04-27T12:50
at 2022-04-27T12:50
Table of Contents
這是我個人的看法,所以也沒有誰對誰錯
但畢竟我不是專業的,可能跟其他車評很不同,我是用我自己的領域套在這裡看
比賽有兩個環節:策略和執行,且要把車手和車隊拆開來看
所以在看LEC要不要拼第二名的時候,就要從車手和車隊的角度出發
1.車手:LEC自己要不要拼
LEC他自己知道的資訊是:積分優勢、賽車的狀況、自己的技術和把握度
就積分優勢而言,他拼失敗了會有什麼結果:從領先4x分變成領先2x分這樣,
是不是失去優勢?不是,
賽車狀況和把握度,當下只有他自己知道,但他選擇拼了,所以他對這兩者是有信心的
最後他失敗了,我覺得只能歸咎於執行上的失誤,而不是決策失誤
所以他冷靜下來之後的訪問也是講說他不覺得有冒過多的風險
2.車隊:要不要讓LEC去拼,這就很有討論的空間,
首先LEC追的是牛車,是紅軍第一假想敵,
如果前面的人是NOR,或是RUS,一定不追的。
其次,當下馬車的效能是略輸牛車的,
如果我能夠在現在的些微劣勢中設法保持小輸,那積分上是很有利的,
牛1,2,法3,積分差28,等於退賽2場的差距,
但牛1,3,法2,積分差22,等於退賽1場的差距。
最後,紅軍之後空力和動力都會做升級,而且就是在下一場,
賽事還很長,車隊一定有資料可以判斷之後賽事的成績潛力。
我認為車隊在綜合考量之後已知的升級,並相信LEC的執行力,才會放手讓LEC去追。
所以說這場是腦衝嗎?如果腦衝的定義是「不該做但去做」,那這場就沒有腦衝,
在決策上我覺得車隊和車手都是沒問題的,
我們旁觀者可能會說哎呀少了10分,可能最後WDC差距不到10分,
但車隊自己知道的一定比我們更多,如果他們對未來的把握度也很低,一定不衝。
我自己想到腦衝的畫面第一名就是MAX忘記哪場去撞到套圈車OCON,
因為他只要躲開就好了,根本不須去擋OCON unlap,
當然有可能是MAX沒看到也沒想到啦,如果他看到還去擋,就...痾
--
但畢竟我不是專業的,可能跟其他車評很不同,我是用我自己的領域套在這裡看
比賽有兩個環節:策略和執行,且要把車手和車隊拆開來看
所以在看LEC要不要拼第二名的時候,就要從車手和車隊的角度出發
1.車手:LEC自己要不要拼
LEC他自己知道的資訊是:積分優勢、賽車的狀況、自己的技術和把握度
就積分優勢而言,他拼失敗了會有什麼結果:從領先4x分變成領先2x分這樣,
是不是失去優勢?不是,
賽車狀況和把握度,當下只有他自己知道,但他選擇拼了,所以他對這兩者是有信心的
最後他失敗了,我覺得只能歸咎於執行上的失誤,而不是決策失誤
所以他冷靜下來之後的訪問也是講說他不覺得有冒過多的風險
2.車隊:要不要讓LEC去拼,這就很有討論的空間,
首先LEC追的是牛車,是紅軍第一假想敵,
如果前面的人是NOR,或是RUS,一定不追的。
其次,當下馬車的效能是略輸牛車的,
如果我能夠在現在的些微劣勢中設法保持小輸,那積分上是很有利的,
牛1,2,法3,積分差28,等於退賽2場的差距,
但牛1,3,法2,積分差22,等於退賽1場的差距。
最後,紅軍之後空力和動力都會做升級,而且就是在下一場,
賽事還很長,車隊一定有資料可以判斷之後賽事的成績潛力。
我認為車隊在綜合考量之後已知的升級,並相信LEC的執行力,才會放手讓LEC去追。
所以說這場是腦衝嗎?如果腦衝的定義是「不該做但去做」,那這場就沒有腦衝,
在決策上我覺得車隊和車手都是沒問題的,
我們旁觀者可能會說哎呀少了10分,可能最後WDC差距不到10分,
但車隊自己知道的一定比我們更多,如果他們對未來的把握度也很低,一定不衝。
我自己想到腦衝的畫面第一名就是MAX忘記哪場去撞到套圈車OCON,
因為他只要躲開就好了,根本不須去擋OCON unlap,
當然有可能是MAX沒看到也沒想到啦,如果他看到還去擋,就...痾
--
Tags:
賽車
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