蔡澈稱讚Tesla，但表示德國人仍保有領先 - 汽車

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Former Daimler CEO praises Tesla, but says Germans remain permanently ahead

Daimler 前CEO 稱讚Tesla，但表示德國人仍保有長久以來的領先

Former Daimler CEO Dieter Zetsche recently shared his thoughts on the
electric car revolution and the part played by American electric car maker
Tesla. Speaking with Handelsblatt, the former Daimler executive discussed
what he believes are Elon Musk’s strengths, Tesla’s accomplishments, and
why German automakers will always be ahead.

Daimler 前CEO 蔡澈先生最近在接受德國商報訪問時講到關於Elon Musk 的優點、
Tesla 的成就以及為何德國製造商會一直保有領先。

Now retired and without commitments to a specific automaker, Zetsche freely
praised Elon Musk, stating that he adores the daring Tesla CEO. Part of this
is due to Musk’s initiatives, which are centered on pushing humanity
forward. “Elon has a mission, he wants to solve the problems of humanity,”
he said, adding that the American electric car maker has done a great service
to electromobility with its “absurdly quick” EVs.

蔡澈先生讚揚了Elon Musk，說他敬仰這位勇於冒險的Tesla CEO。這有一部分要
歸功於Musk 的一些推動人類前進的開創性舉措。他說："Elon 有一項使命，他
想要解決一些人類遇到的問題。" 他補充說，這家美國車廠用"快的出奇"的電動
車為電動汽車做出了出色的貢獻。

That being said, the former Daimler CEO noted that he still has reservations
about Tesla and its future. Tesla has gone all-in on battery technology, and
it has pursued massive projects such as Gigafactory 1 in Nevada to secure it.
Zetsche noted that he believes it’s wrong to rely on a single type of
technology, especially as batteries themselves are already changing very
quickly.

話雖如此，但這位Daimler 前CEO 仍對Tesla 以及其未來持保留態度。Tesla 毫
無保留的研究電池科技，而且已經展開像是在內華達州的Gigafactory 1 這樣的
大型項目以鞏固其電池技術。蔡澈先生指出，他認為依靠單一類型的技術是錯誤
的，特別是電池本身已經非常快速的發生了改變。

Thus, despite his admiration for Elon Musk, Zetsche believes that established
automakers will be permanently ahead. Volkswagen, BMW, and Daimler are all
making big moves on electromobility. Daimler, for one, is looking to
transition half of Mercedes-Benz’s vehicles to electric by 2030, and the
company intends to abandon further internal combustion engine developments.

因此，僅管對於Elon Musk 欽佩不已，但蔡澈先生仍相信老牌車廠將會保持領先。
VW、BMW、以及Daimler 都在電動車方面取得了重大進展。例如Daimler 希望在2030
年之前將Mercedes-Benz 一半的車款電動化，而且該公司打算放棄進一步開發內
燃機引擎。

To set the record straight, the ex-CEO stated that fuel cell vehicles that
are powered with hydrogen might be futile, particularly as they lack the
necessary infrastructure that would allow long trips. This is something that
is being addressed by the Tesla Supercharger Network and other systems such
as IONITY, which provide rapid-charging services for EVs.

另外這位前CEO 表示，以氫為動力的燃料電池電動車可能是徒勞無用的，尤其是
因為他們缺乏長途旅行時所需的必要基礎設施。Tesla Supercharger 與其他系
統，像是IONITY 的充電網路，正在解決為電動車快速充電的這一問題。

Inasmuch as the former CEO’s statements come from a place of authority
considering his vast experience in the auto sector, Zetsche appears to have
missed the fact that Tesla is already in the process of future-proofing its
battery technology. Apart from constant improvements that are implemented on
its battery cells at Gigafactory 1, Tesla also appears to be well into the
development of its next-generation batteries, as evidenced by its recent
acquisition of companies such as Maxwell Technologies.

考量到這位前CEO 的這份談話是來自於一間老牌媒體、考量到蔡澈先生在汽車領
域的豐富經驗，蔡澈先生似乎錯過了Tesla 已經在對未來的電池技術進行驗證的
這一個事實。除了在Gigafactory 1 對他目前的電池進行改進之外，Tesla 在開
發下一代電池上似乎也很順利，這可以從最近像是對Maxwell 這些公司們的收購
得到證明。

Daimler has already started its moves towards electromobility, with the
company releasing the all-electric EQC under its Mercedes-Benz brand. While
the vehicle has been well-received by reviewers, Daimler has hit some
challenges with the vehicle. The company has recalled a number of its EQC
units due to a fault that could cause the all-electric SUV to stall, or
worse, affect the capability of the vehicle to be controlled, leading to a
heightened risk of a crash.

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從很久以前，每當講到氫燃料電池車的話題時，我不只一次的講這並不適合小型
乘用車，原因就是設置加氫站太貴，想大量設立不太可能。

Daimler 前大老蔡澈先生也有類似的看法，認為氫燃料車缺乏長途旅行時所需的
加氫站，所以做了也是徒勞，發展不起來。這又再次印證了氫燃料電池用在小客
車上是不太可行的。


另外他認為Tesla 對單一電池技術押注太大，所以未來還是會被德國車廠領先的
這件事情，可能他對於德國發展下一代的電池很有信心？或者是德國的固態電池
研發已經有了什麼重大的進步了嗎？不過Tesla 的保密一直做的很好，誰也不知
道下一代電池Tesla 會被逆轉落後或者是又再度擴大其領先差距。畢竟現在市面
上的德國車廠出的電動車，續航力都還追不上7年前的Model S，更別說是現在的
Tesla了。

還有他並沒有提到另一個重點，就是自動駕駛的發展。這幾乎可以說是下一代汽
車的決定性因素，誰在自動駕駛領域領先並實裝到市售車上，誰就有很大機會將
其他人都遠遠拋在後頭，這可能比電池技術的影響還更大的多。

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