大家會願意持有年化報酬率-20%的車子嗎? - 保養

By Damian
at 2017-09-10T00:23
at 2017-09-10T00:23
Table of Contents
如題,小弟今天稍微思考了一下
假設以投資的角度來看
買一台80萬新車的年化報酬率約在-20%左右
5年後車價砍半變40萬
5年期間的保養、維修費、保險稅金、停車費、E-Tag等等保守估計約40萬
沒錯,也就是說5年後投資車子80萬的淨資產會歸零(-20%*5=-100%)
而投資美國標普500 S&P 500 ETF(ETF代號:SPY,IVV,VOO)
這5年的年化報酬率約在14%左右
(還不包含每季配息,但美股配息要先扣30%的股利所得稅)
也就是說現在將80萬的資本投入SPY,5年後不含配息可以領136萬回來
80*(1+14%*5)=136萬
同樣是80萬,一個5年後淨資產歸零(100%確定會歸零)
一個是5年後有機會拿回136萬
(不知股市是否還會持續多頭5年,而且還要考慮通貨膨脹及貼現率等因素
也就是說就算5年後真的可以拿回136萬,實際購買力以每年通膨2%計算的話
5年後136萬的購買力大概約等於現在的123萬,136萬除以1.02的五次方約等於123萬
這也就是爛如VIOS等級鋁罐+2SRS的車,車價還是能在每次改款後持續創新高的主要原因 )
請問大家是否會願意考量錢的關係,晚個幾年再買車呢?
但台北路上還是會看到滿坑滿谷的車子在跑,明明大眾交通工具就很方便阿 @@
--
假設以投資的角度來看
買一台80萬新車的年化報酬率約在-20%左右
5年後車價砍半變40萬
5年期間的保養、維修費、保險稅金、停車費、E-Tag等等保守估計約40萬
沒錯,也就是說5年後投資車子80萬的淨資產會歸零(-20%*5=-100%)
而投資美國標普500 S&P 500 ETF(ETF代號:SPY,IVV,VOO)
這5年的年化報酬率約在14%左右
(還不包含每季配息,但美股配息要先扣30%的股利所得稅)
也就是說現在將80萬的資本投入SPY,5年後不含配息可以領136萬回來
80*(1+14%*5)=136萬
同樣是80萬,一個5年後淨資產歸零(100%確定會歸零)
一個是5年後有機會拿回136萬
(不知股市是否還會持續多頭5年,而且還要考慮通貨膨脹及貼現率等因素
也就是說就算5年後真的可以拿回136萬,實際購買力以每年通膨2%計算的話
5年後136萬的購買力大概約等於現在的123萬,136萬除以1.02的五次方約等於123萬
這也就是爛如VIOS等級鋁罐+2SRS的車,車價還是能在每次改款後持續創新高的主要原因 )
請問大家是否會願意考量錢的關係,晚個幾年再買車呢?
但台北路上還是會看到滿坑滿谷的車子在跑,明明大眾交通工具就很方便阿 @@
--
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